RE: Share Talk write up28 Apr 2026 12:02
I see Share Talk are clearly using AI for their write ups. While very long, it's a decent piece. I think the first bit around the reasons for the SP stalling are wide of the mark though. We got to the 70's last Autumn predominantly on the basis that we were supposed to get a Nasdaq SPAC listing by the end of the year with Mkango's share valued of at least $400m (84p equivalent), and because the RE market was going crazy off the back of the US / China trade war.
So while the SP would clearly be higher if more progress had been made with regard to execution of the recycling roll out, it is not the primary reason for the lack of SP momentum imo i.e. imo we'd be over £1 now if the MKAR SPAC listing had been executed by now. I do agree with the overall theme though that the market is now looking for execution on milestones, instead of giving Mkango the benefit of the doubt, which is probably fair enough given the number of milestones we have missed.
The expectation of the MKAR listing was the first big value creation / crystallisation event that drove the SP higher last year, the build out of the recycling was always going to more incremental in its SP value creation, with European plant commissions providing small boosts and US FID providing a bigger boost. The Hypromag USA Nasdaq listing is likely to provide the biggest value creation event for the SP imo.
AIM will not value us properly on potential, so the Nasdaq listings are crucial. Without them I think we would need to be showing substantial profit and FCF from operations in order to get the kind of value on AIM that we all think this company deserves, which I don't see coming until a year or two down the track based on the latest timelines the company has shared.