Beware of greed14 Feb 2021 14:23
I'm not in a position to teach anyone a lesson, and so I apologise if this post sounds patronising, but I have made some terrible investment decisions in the past and, hopefully, learnt something from them.
The most important thing is not to get carried away with enthusiasm and become too greedy. If you have your target in mind, try to stick to it. You may readjust the target as things develop but don't forget the initial plan: if you planned to take some profits out after a 50% rise, do it, no matter how bullish things look like in the heat of the moment. FOMO is your worst enemy: no-one has ever gone bust by taking a smaller profit or missing out on an investment but many have been bankrupted by jumping in and getting spiked. Also, the market often turns when everyone is overly bullish; similarly, a bottom is often found when everyone is overly bearish.
The beauty of ARB is that it is seriously undervalued even at a $30k BTC level, so it is bound to try and catch up with its peers in the short term. (The rerate started in the US on Friday.) That's why I think £2 are in sight as early as tomorrow. However, any talk of £4-£5 points is premature at this point, so don't hold your breath for such a rise this month. (If BTC goes crazy and goes to $70k, then we may see those levels but that will be a short-lived spike, as people will take their profits.) Once we are listed on NASDAQ and BTC has progressed to $60k-$70k, those levels will be achievable.
The greatest advice I've ever been given is to consider whether you'd put any fresh money into a particular share at the current level. If you're unsure, it's probably better to walk away. You may get lucky if you jump in but you may get badly burnt too. Those already sitting on a 10-bag are naturally more relaxed about possible drops. (But remember that they are sitting on a 10-bad because they were brave enough to make the correct decision a year ago.)
It's a difficult dilemma and I'm still learning.
Have a lovely week!
EP