The way I see it now.5 Mar 2022 13:40
1. Fuel costs. If a problem will be passed on as a surcharge or built in to the ticket price.
2. Banned from Russian air space. Nealy all Western airlines are in the same boat so that blunts this problem. The only Co's that will benefit will be Chinese, Indian, African carriers etc... They won't be able to shoulder all the freight and passenger increases if you ask me. Some business will be lost to these, obviously.
3. Omicron. Apart from a few places like Hong Kong Omicron/covid is fading away fast, countries like the UK are flying normally now and so are many ither countries in Europe plus the USA and Australia.
4. Ukraine. IAG did not even operate in Ukraine so no financial hit directly from the war at all.
It seems to me IAG is a lot better off financially that it was just a few months ago. It is certainly flying normally in the UK.
As Omicron fades the more restrictions are lifted and the more flights happen.
At £1.25 it's a buy.......
All IMHO.