RE: Buyout???25 Jul 2025 07:45
Hi Waca,
1. Although John has stated he does not want to sell the company, he has an overriding fiduciary duty to maximise shareholder value of the company for all shareholders and that includes evaluation of all future lucrative market offers from third parties.
2. There could be accelerating product develpmental/ enhancement, revenue and cost/scale/investment synergies for our technology and company platform that are outside ITX reach, capabilities and present resources.
3. The total historical invested capital in ITX, is probably around £80m?? Its a useful marker but not the only one to consider and is guidance only.
4. Broker has given guidance 325p but appears to me under a any offer deal, asset scarcity comes into play possibly with a few external parties or reactive entrants. That may bring in a very high bid premium.
5. Driving this likely that there could be some large companies that wish to block loss of existing franchise market share and external suply factors like this could be considered in unique situations. This may mean a price could be paid that partially recognises this situation, and still be value enhancing and sensible for both sets of shareholders.
6. The professional investors at 255p would probably want AT LEAST a 25% return per year given all the risks they have had to hold since investment toward any deal being announced.
7. I'm not casting out numbers here but you can see how I'm thinking about ITX's exit pricing dynamics and wxternal and investor factors that may come into consideration.
ATB