RE: Sale or Merger?23 Oct 2016 14:32
would be happier with a sale than a merger. With a merger we would probably get some shares per 10's of dcp shares & wouldn't see the 'upside' as much if dcp was an independent company.
I noticed that Petra bought the finsch mine for $100 million in 2011:
https://www.petradiamonds.com/our-operations/our-mines/finsch/
It has a resouce of 48 million carats at $80/ct (approx value $4 billion)
But with lace famous for its fancy stones and approx value of $1.6 billion ($165/ct at 10 million catrats) as well as its margin, you would expect a similar valuation considering that it does NOT have to be sold off & we are literally in production (with its fair share of problems). Also the diamond market is improving.
If you look at the project cashflow after tax and interest (ZARm) i.e. NET PROFIT for total mine life:
http://www.lse.co.uk/share-regulatory-news.asp?shareprice=DCP&ArticleCode=za1a9shv&ArticleHeadline=IDC_Loan__4m_Proposed_Placing
It is a total of 12,407,169,386 zar ($887,267,622 million or £725,454,966 million)
Why would PL (having put so much effort & actually living in site) expect a offer of less than 27p when we only require another £3 million.
Rasmala would have to put in an offer if they exceed 30%. So assuming there is no offer, then Rasmala can't convert and dcp could repay this from diamond sales in december. If dcp can't repay, they will probably get 30 million shares taking their holding to 90 million.
The SP could climb or simply stay here. If they need to raise £3 million at 2p that's 150 million shares (33% ish dilution). Rasmala will be limited to the amount of new shares due to that 30%. So other II's will be involved. The SP could also improve by december.
I think management need to release a killer rns on the offer price it receives LOL
Very interesting days to come ....