RE: February Overview8 Mar 2025 12:56
Gallmat,
Sadly I don’t trust you as far as I can throw you. Subtle (yet not so subtle) Deramping and mentioning of 40% drops and an NPV of £100 million.
Vastly underselling the value of the company by basing your estimates on RTO data from 18 months ago. Also your 200% rise and 40% drop estimates are plucked out of thin air and based on no valid data I can see. So sadly you’ll have to forgive me for not trusting you one bit.
Here is a far more concise appraisal of the company tweeted by a large long-term holder:
1/2 “Morning Campers
EPP MESH Project is A Giant Among Giants
Gas production:
Marram is fully appraised gas low CO2 Emission field approximately 46bcf of gas ~ 460 million therms, worth over £500 million (Gas prices currently at £1.2/therm)
Gas Storage:
MESH also boasts a gas storage capacity of 50BCF to 60BCF (500m to 600m therms), potentially tripling to 150 BCF with the addition of Knox and Lowry assets.
This is an impressive capacity of around 500 million to 600 million therms. Equivalent to 15 TWh to 20TWh, that is well over 2/3 of the UK storage capacity
This positions it as the largest gas storage facility in the UK.
Green Hydrogen:
With a hydrogen storage capacity of 2.8 TWh (expandable to 8.4TWh), MESH dwarfs other projects.
How will they do it:
Harness the surplus wind energy
Turn it into Hydrogen
Store it
Use it as green source of energy when it’s needed
Capacity to store 2.8TWh hydrogen
Company is looking to triple that capacity to 8.4TWh.
Funding
EPP has signed an MoU with a corner stone Fund to finance MESH at multiples the current SP alongside
EPP are also in discussion with a FTSE100 for the provision of project Debt finance
EPP has also access to £5.1m green loan facility
All of the above will ensure minimal dilution & funding for the MESH project without the need to Gov funding or tax payers money. Although discussion are ongoing & at pace, nothing is very guaranteed until it is all signed up.
Comparison Vs peers:
Comparisons with other gas storage projects underscore MESH’s potential. For instance;
BP’s recent partnership with a Spanish company involves a 25 MW project (200 GWh), making MESH 75 times larger
Star Energy’s 10 BCF facility was valued at £340 million in 2007 (£642 million today).
KIST acquired a gas storage asset with a capacity of 17 million therms for £25 million in the summer of 2024. MESH has a capacity of 500m to 600m therms) that is 28 to 35 times bigger.
This valuation suggests that MESH, with its capacity of 500/600 million therms 28/35 times larger, gives MESH a value at approximately £700m to £875m.”