RE: Redwood / Kwarteng25 Nov 2021 12:20
I can see Berenberg are bidding for 33m shares at 0.75p!
Low volume drop to here, games
Short Seller Observation 14: Angus get to full production by Feb 22 (according to George) or mid-Mar (according to the latest revised CPR).
Actual Reality Observation 14:
Nothing wrong with having a target and even PlayStation 5 and Car Chips have been delayed and difficult to get a hold of. Angus have made it very clear and open challenges with logistics and supply chain. There is nothing in this Short Seller observation that is new or alarming. And actually the company have said First Gas target was February and restated that in CPR as an intention not for FULL PRODUCTION. Complete pseudo facts and suppositions all to scare and create noise out of thin air. A non-plus argument from them here!
Short Seller Observation 15: Could Angus Energy produce enough gas to sell to deliver the repayments required on the amortising loan it has committed to (£12m @ 12.2% over 4 years, with end date of Dec 2024, so 37 months to go). Total payable required against this = £15.2 million... total repayments made so far = £0).
Actual Reality Observation 15:
The Loan Repayment kicks in July 2022 and they do have 37 months to go – correct well done have a banana. Tell us something we didn’t know. It is all negative guess work based on NON EXPERTS, NON-INSIDERS to Angus Energy and these cretins fail to remind us all that the Loan Liability is shared so Angus will need to stump up £6.222m of the £12.2m over the repayment period as 51% owners of the project thus Loan! They also fail to remind all that the company may be able to produce Gas pre hedge to generate cash to aide the repayments and reduce the burden later on!
Short Seller Observation 16: Will Angus Energy be producing enough gas to fulfil its hedged volume commitments from July next year (around 3.4 mmscfd for Q3 2022, then rising to well ovedr 5 mmscfd for the following three quarters).
Actual Reality Observation 16:
Going over the same ground over and over again. Short Sellers are running out of ammo here. This persistent observation was clearly answered by Angus Energy in their Website Q&A!
From Angus Energy:
“The lenders technical advisers and Angus evaluated the deliverability of the existing two wells as being likely to be greater than 5 mmscfd. The reasoning was twofold. In the last years of delivery to the old Conoco refinery, average production was constrained by persistent issues with the main compressor at Theddlethorpe. Secondly it was the view of technical experts that, following a prolonged shut-in, the two wells should have improved deliverability in the first 18 months or so of operations. This is because prior to shut in there was an area of reduced pressure around the producing wells. Since then the pressure has equilibrated across the field resulting in significantly higher pressure around the producers. So it is our view that the hedged production should be able to be cove