RE: Lull Before Fireworks26 Oct 2018 11:56
Pete you know the answer to where it comes from. You were at the AGM.
Doing it alone would mean "Drill Wait and Raise" - "Drill Wait and Raise" - were Jays words.
If it is going to take us to 2020 with this option of full carry without delays once running, then in going it alone 5 years would be a likely minimum to get CH1 drilled and a pipeline installed with a GSA organised imo
Let me put some questions to you...
If we were to go it alone from here…
How much would we need to raise for the CH1 and the 3D seismic that goes with it?
What dilutionary effect would that have?
Who builds the pipeline is still in question, but assuming we do, again we need a raise...
How much? How much dilution?
Moving on to CH2, 3, 4 etc for FFD. Under the farm-out deal some if not all of these could be drilled next year so we could be looking for two or three more raises and dilution that would bring! However, imo it would be more likely we would have to wait until we were in production and receiving decent revenue from Ruvuma.
Obviously all this, then puts back any planned future for Nyuni and of course the diversification that you have long been an advocate of.
The deal imo is worth far more to us PIs that just the full carry of $40m because the deal is also worth the value of all that dilution for 3 or four drills and maybe the pipeline that we will now not have to face.
Would $15m per drill sound right? Pipeline... did someone say $20m? 3D seismic $$$? Looks like that little lot would be near double our current MCap. That sort of dilution would be bloody painful me thinks