RE: Buy recommendation15 Jan 2018 07:24
Hi Gary,
Appreciate the coverage and my post wasn�t personal. My frustration with the article was the following:
The seismics SAVP inherited has been extended to include 3D over the prospects it is set to drill. It is the 3D seismics that led to CNPC recording a 76% success rate from 127 exploration wells. Discoveries along trend share the same trap and seal configuration as the prospects in R3 East recording a 93% success rate along strike, around R3. The Agadem rift basin is in the lowest 25% cost quartile in the world. Each well is only set to cost between $5/8m per well with the first prospects to be drilled close to existing infrastructure.
Savp will also be looking to bid for a marginal field in Nigeria with bidding expected early 2018, opening up a hole new licence for exploration and development as well as looking to convert its existing 2C resources with the next few years.
The association of Nigeria with OPEC is largely irrelevant to SAVP at this point as a majority of Seven Energy�s production is gas with fixed price contracts in place supplying 10% of electricity to the national grid (product supplied locally, not exported). This income is gaurenteed by a Partial Risk Gaurentee (historical 0 default), therefore SAVP current future income has a low correlation to the price of oil, this will change in the future and oil production is set to increase following the removal of a bottle knock to existing production.
Risks associated with Nigeria are unavoidable, but since 2014 it�s gas production had a 94% uptime (from top of head), impressive considering the Militia attack�s during that period.
This isn�t an attack at your article, more frustration at how underplayed this company is. This board, up until recently has experienced a torrid of people who were unhappy during suspension and have since sold out and left thank god. It is my opinion that the near term upside is significant, let alone the long. Thanks for reading and for the article regardless. A lot more detail I could go into, but thought I would share a bit more information from the top of my head to prove a point.