RE: Something to consider.8 Mar 2024 14:37
Hi Rotherby, hope all good mate - don't forget the very dated data cut-off point as GGP themselves mentioned as below in an RNS in a protective capacity on 08th March after the valuation was published, these points could now work from Newmont's perspective. I suspect though that NEM will be in a mood to get a quick good deal based on the GS valuation to help meet that $2bn target within the next year as their shareholders are less focused on the minute detail on each asset.
From 08/09/23 RNS:
As is customary, the Newcrest scheme circular attaches an independent assessment by an Australian valuation advisory firm, Grant Samuel & Associates Pty Ltd (Grant Samuel), as to whether, in their opinion, the transaction is in the best interests of Newcrest shareholders. The assessment was produced by Grant Samuel independently of Newcrest. The Grant Samuel assessment includes a valuation for each material project in the Newcrest portfolio. In respect of Havieron, it is noted that:
§ The approach taken by Grant Samuel is to assess Newcrest's interest in Havieron (70%) on an aggregated basis with Newcrest's interest in Telfer (100%). Accordingly, Havieron has not been separately valued. The combined valuation therefore includes significant closure costs and other liabilities associated with Telfer (which Greatland has no exposure to).
§ Grant Samuel has applied its own assumptions and adjustments to arrive at their opinion as to the current combined value of hypothetical Telfer (100%) and Havieron (70%) scenarios.
§ Additionally, because Newcrest did not complete its own planned update to the Havieron Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) in August 2023, the Grant Samuel assessment is based on Newcrest's August 2022 MRE update, which only incorporated drilling results up to November 2021.
As previously announced, the feasibility study for Havieron is ongoing, with value enhancing options being assessed to maximise value and de-risk the project. The feasibility study will therefore be a up-to-date, comprehensive and optimised assessment of Havieron.
Assuming that Newmont's acquisition of Newcrest completes in November 2023 as expected, Greatland looks forward to the opportunity to work constructively with Newmont to optimise the development of Havieron, finalise the feasibility study and progress to a decision to mine.