Risk Downside v Upside23 Jan 2023 13:52
Interested to clarify for update on Wed , but this is how I see it:
Downside:
- Risk of sanctions - Must be significant lower than last year given none yet, shareholder mix (also significant funds still in e.g Black rock), not beholden to Russian CB and nature (i.e not like EVR / Steel... which can be potentially associated to war)
- Supply chain and markets - Substantially resolved via good management
- Russian assets - potential for fallback plan of split
Upside:
- Gold price & therefore improving margin
- Potential to restore strong future dividends
- Production on track & potential future production coming on stream
- Debt reduction support by Fx
- Positive closing cash position from stock build up now benefitting from improving Gold prices
Assuming the upsides are evident I cannot see how this stays at current Market Cap IMHO.
Am I missing any key points here ?.