RE: Big Oil = Big Renewable too24 Feb 2020 17:23
char, sometimes we are all too keen to spend our way out of trouble by averaging down, different views on that - personally id rarely do it as i see it just tying up more capital, short term thats OK but long term not so good. Just my view mind. Im very heavy in oil and bought lots of shell at BG purchase time so most of my purchase costs are at a big discount to todays sp, not helpfull to you i understand, but these shares did hit £26 odd not so long ago (am not suggesting they could again tomorrow) and are back down again, in short, they do move around a lot and we never know what is around the corner.
The US shale boom and Trump has helped keep the oil price down and relatively stable over recent years. Again that may not remain so. Reading what others better placed than me say it would appear shale is suffering, which can only be good for the majors. The way i see it there is a lot of panic in the markets due to the media coverage of the corona virus, whether its a pandemic or not is clear as differing countries may or may not be reporting truthfully. The likes of you and me will never know the truth of this, however this is driving the herd and affecting all shares prices negatively. Humans are a lot like sheep in some respects, farmer turns up with food we all trot over, lion turns up we all f.ck off.
The situation in the middle east with Iran also interests me, if they are suffering from this virus you can bet your bottom dollar that their rulers will struggle, they may blame the western sanctions and start acting up again, showing a strong face, to stop their population rebelling, this would drive up oil prices as tensions rise. There may even be restrictions in the transport of oil if this virus truely takes off.
In short i suppose what im trying to say is that sometimes patience is an investors best friend, and that these things tend to be cyclical, it might be down now but it might not be tomorrow, no point worrying about it to much as no investor should invest funds they cannot afford to lose realy.