RE: SP4 Nov 2022 21:21
Berenberg brokers say GLEN looking good
As if on cue, analysts at Berenberg weighed in with comments summarising their view of the outlook on the back of the Financial Times' Mining Summit and the various events linked to the London Metal Exchange's LME week held over the prior weeks.
To sum up, the near-term outlook was "challenging" from a supply/demand perspective due to global recessionary concerns, they said.
Berenberg highlighted StanChart boss Bill Winter's remarks at the FT summit, where he said he expected Beijing to enact fiscal stimulus which he hoped would compensate weakness in the US and Europe - otherwise we faced a broader global downturn.
Longer-term nonetheless, the broker was upbeat on demand for sector due to its critical role in the energy transition.
Which were the companies they believed might outperform within that context? Glencore, Ecora, Jubilee Metals, Capital Limited, Yellow Cake and Kenmare Resources.
As an aside, just the day before, the FT had reported on talks between Tesla and Glencore, which had begun in 2021, by which the carmaker might take out a 10-20% stake in the latter, which mined cobalt and traded lithium - although no deal was finally reached.
Of possible interest in the case of Anglo American, in the same research note, the broker noted forecasts from Trafigura according to which copper inventories currently at approximately 4.9 days were expected to decline to 2.7 days by year-end.