RE: Current Price Action21 Jan 2024 20:33
@Kheldar, He1 don't have the full down hole test suite, so not geared up to flow test, costs..
Mike, already clarified the plan for Tai, down hole sampling, independent verification, and return to flow test..
Below is the latest description of testing for Itumbula.
"Once the wireline logs have been run and evaluated, the Company will also have the option to take downhole samples under reservoir conditions using Baker Hughes' Reservoir Characterisation Instrument tool. The Company will be able to transfer and evaluate these samples onsite, as well as sending duplicate samples for laboratory analyses at a leading noble gas laboratory."
So they are saying they can analyse the gas and announce a discovery, and also get the discovery independently verified, nothing else has been added but Lorna is always reluctant to say too much,..
Okay, so Legal is saying the can't announce a commercial discovery, well what they can do is announce a set of results that strongly indicate a commercial discovery is in the making..
Free gas helium concentration, which if low must be have good flow rates to give the volume...so I guess high down hole pressures will be a good indication of theoretical flow rates, something He1 have not shared.. but probably can be googled.. IG attempted to address this topic, but it wasn't appreciated by the nice guys here ?
You need to check these figures, I don't have them at hand, and I think they vary between documents but were all within 4-5%..
if its 4.3% I think that's the p50 resource estimate, above 4.5% the p10 estimates, so 5% blows the door off..
Any show needs to be over a good portion of the reservoir column height, but we haven't been giving info to calculate the volume of the discovery. We need the porosity, area of the closure and height of the gas bearing column..
Any fault based shows, well DM cased his, and Lorna has said little..
So what if they get 5% free gas, as without it being trapped in a reservoir we can't estimate the volume. Pressure will probably be a clue but it will need to be maintained over time...
But nobody here is discussing any of this stuff, so they either know it all or are just trading 10-20%