RE: 28th Nov 2023 2:00 pm RNS Holding(s) in Company29 Nov 2023 12:07
I might well add more as you summarise Hedgehog :)
I'm not sure when I started this journey I'd planned to breach the 3%. I've been mainly taking advantage of any weaknesses in the price, buying below 55p. However, now I am there I am very happy buying at these levels so I'll continue to buy on any weakness.
As the years have gone by I have followed this share closely. I've spent hours on the accounts, attending AGM's investors presentations and asking questions of the CEO to understand the business model, strategy, risks and cash position in more detail.
There have been rollercoaster ups and downs in markets mainly in decline (cash and physical security solutions). Now our diversification to digital HCM hardware and software licencing is proving itself incredibly successful, with high margins, fantastic partners and significant growth ahead. Yet, this success has not be recognised, it has happened in a business that has had to deal with the traditional model which has been in decline.
The HCM business should be on a PE of 20-30x, if we were to separate it, it would. This value is still in this business but just not recognised. Being part of a wider group is a negative from a valuation perspective. However, the fact it has been part of that group means that our management team (and all credit to Marie-Claire for the strategy), our processes and controls are 30 years old, this is a huge positive. We are growing in a risk managed, sustainable way with low debt on a long term satisfied client base.
Since January it has become very clear to me this strategy is bearing real fruit. It has been clouded by the business in decline and more recently the loss of UKG for most investors who cannot see it. But this has just allowed me to continue to purchase this year at incredibly low level with huge confidence.
If you understand all of this, and I do, it is very clear that this is one of the lowest risk/highest possible return AIM investments I could be making.