RE: Aminex Valuation31 May 2020 22:56
I have already provided my views on this subject and nothing discussed here changes them one iota.
Nyuni South is estimated at 57 BCF and is not yet even connected to the Songo Songo gas plant - so such assertions as - "....so waiting for gas to be discovered and tied in..." makes it sound so simple doesn't it? That will require a lot of money and an extended lead time. So simple that NOTHING has happened on Kiliwani for years and that despite it being AEX's stated priority for the whole of that period.
matherdj is spot on.
Nyuni = 57 BCF, offshore, requiring offshore pipeline to GPP, outstanding gas invoices and operated by a company who have just transferred any and all of their technical capability to APT to work on Ntorya and who barely have enough cash to keep the lights on ( lack of credibility with TPDC)
Ntorya = 1.3 TCF, 22 km onshore pipeline, multi well development programme, operated (post Farm-Out) by cash rich, influential, capable and credible entity (providing TPDC and Govt with confidence)
I would love to see Kiliwani resurrected as JB and the previous management long promised and totally failed to deliver. We all hope that the political context may be changing positively but it will require definitive action on the Govt's part to provide the confidence the market needs to bring new investors to this market, in my view. (Paying our outstanding invoices would be the most positive indication) We all know that it is this Govt inertia over many years and the resultant lack of confidence that meant that AEX had no investment or funding options but the Zubairs when the BOD went to market previously; and the reason that we got such a derisory deal... we are in just as parlous a position now and I cannot see anyone rushing to our aid at any point soon until there is a total volte face by the govt.