RE: Sale price6 Dec 2018 10:47
PNE, Brian may well have said that at a recent FSC - but in an earlier FSC (maybe the first one if memory serves - 28/04/17) James answered a question of mine that had been bugging me for a while. Brian's recent reply that you alluded to seems to contradict earlier advise. Maybe in the light of Brian's reply this can be cleared up at the forthcoming Conference Call? The answer from James is reprinted in full below:
Good morning Kirk,
I am just beginning the process of responding to questions and yours is top of the list !
"We haven’t provided any updated guidance on a value per Tcf – that was a conscious decision for a variety of reasons – mainly that we do not yet know the gas sales price, which is the most important variable. As we approach FID we will put a number in the public domain.
Regarding the proved up volumes and how a purchaser might value the business…. I think the way to think about this is that we should get a high percentage (maybe 90%) of the P1 volumes and then a low percentages of the unproved volumes. The key variable which the seismic helps reduce is the risking of the unproved volumes. So right now, based on public information, we might get say 90% of our proved 0.5Tcf and a small percent, say 2% of our 31Tcf potential. Post seismic perhaps that 2% increases to say 10% or another number as we will be able to demonstrate with a prospect inventory how our 31Tcf is built up. More drilling and re-entries will increase in the proved volumes but actually most of the value uplift will come from the seismic".
Hope that helps explain our thinking Kirk.
Cheers, Crude