RE: Cash Pile17 Oct 2025 07:39
To be fair, you'd need to run the test over a number of shares where the price has dropped over 50%. I can probably find half a dozen from among my own investments. Even then it really can't allow for all the other variables related to personal circumstances. Maybe it's easier if we all avoid running private competitions where the prizes have so little value.
For my part, it's always useful to hear a counterargument or word of caution on an investment. Whereas I've focussed on the cash movements and taken for granted that the business can make money, Trotsky is looking at the underlying business and has further concerns around the quality/reliability of the information. As a general rule, if you don't trust the management to make the right decisions and provide balanced information, you don't want to be investing in the company (divesting is also an option but psychologically is much harder) . Or be very clear with yourself that you are making a risky investment but the positives have to be sufficiently high to outweigh this sort of "agency risk".