Iron ore worth 2p on a bad day...29 Jan 2022 11:00
It's fantastic that Alien are finding a large lump of super high grade silver from surface at Elisabeth Hill, and no doubt there is a lot more at depth underground of similar grade. But let's not forget the value of the iron ore projects. I did my back of the envelope calculation of 1MT per year production starting 3 years from now, sales price $130 per tonne, cash cost $70 per tonne, giving me a cash profit of $60m per year. Discount that back to today that's NPV $237m (£178m) at 12% discount rate. Assume dilution of 50% to fund the project from a strategic investor (a fair assumption I think) so that's £90m NPV ie. 2p per share value today. Add new discovery at Elisabeth Hill - 2p? 3p? 5p? I can see us getting to 2p share price without too much effort.