RE: Market behaviour15 Jun 2023 10:27
Fortissimo - a good thoughtful piece although not very reassuring to me as a junior investor (although I also own SPGP which also has gone nowhere recently)
Your point about new NLGM is more than reasonable although harder to extract deposits will be countered to some extent by falling extraction costs, not least diesel prices.
The problem for me is that what are the alternatives. High interest rates make some forms of debt attractive and I have plenty of those. Small UK stocks such as tech and biotech are a complete lottery. I have no idea how good a software firm's offering is vis a vis the market nor do I have a clue about the likely commercial viability of a startup biotech's chances either.
Large UK stocks are largely going nowhere. Europe has just had a great run - how much is left. Maybe Japan but again ditto about the recent good run. China? forget it! So really we're left with US tech and I can't get my head round the crazy PEs on even mature companies like Apple never mind NVidia. And yet the rally goes on in the face of now real US interest rates.
So tell me, for you, where are the opportunities. You mentioned SHG as some point. Which point?