Msmn24 May 2025 14:44
So where is MSMN going to go from here?
1: the recent placing i think was strategic as we had the funds for Vecta 5 drills and Sagebrush 1 re entry in 2025. However in reality we would have had to have a raise after Vecta but before Sagebrush.
2: Most financial negotiations need a set bank balance for risk management purposes especially when negotiating JV's.
3: There is frustration on not knowing Billy Goat results, it must be good as know one buys a bad well. so Lab results due this week will determine the deal.
4: I suspect DED are going to get Billy Goat for $ Cash + royalty % or Royalty % plus confirmed DED take the Sagebrush drilling cost for 1 or more wells.
5: Sagebrush is MSMN's real big fish Vecta was a stop gap for 2024 but due to delays it is now just a spring board to better things.
This is always difficult depending on your entry price. but i would think 20-25m Mcap or 0.1-0.12p sp will be doable in the near 1-2 weeks, this will see a lot of portfolio balancing or risk adjustment. then as we drill sagebrush 50 Mcap 0.2-0.25p.
Gone are the days of spud and x10 the markets learnt that from HE1 as they all got trapped mid 2024.
Sagebrush is confirmed commercial now in the old oil column at 2.2% He. the sub salt is where the real He will be hence the re drill. This news should already have us over 0.1p but Vecta and is all people care about for the traders. Sagebrush is development now not appraisal.
So i am here for Sagebrush re drill personally and as MSMN operator could move fairly fast., which is why i think the negotiation now is complex.
Infrastructure is all in place, another big plus.
Also MSMN of 2024/2025 is a different beast to the one 3-5-10 years ago, people change, companies change.
of course this is AIM so anything can happen but be very careful with people constantly bang on, if you have done your research then it is just noise.