RE: Falklands constitutional review / Independence?30 Jul 2019 10:15
Much: I think the 130k production will arrive a lot sooner than you suggest.
Premier have stated very plainly that plan A is to bring in another partner after funding sorted. But the partner doesn't come in and get a share of the profit for nothing! In addition to bearing their share of costs it would, in that scenario, cost a 9 figure sum. If they end up with, say, a 25% share then it would be a lot less of the NPV of phase 1. Plus, crucially, they'd have a share of phase 2 and 3.
What would the 'difference'/cash be used for?
Not so speculative, I'd say, to suggest the cash would be used to fund PMO's and RKH's costs to accelerate phase 2 and phase 3 so they run in parallel to developing phase 1, ie bring them forward two or three years.
A new partner would likely insist on that. It's phase 2 and 3 that are really the incentive for a new partner.
Bringing forward the numbers would mostly offset any reduction in our share of the project. and also means we (and of course PMO) actually get free cash flow from phase 1!
The stars may yet align on this one.