Current MCap divided by potential number of patients/ price per patient.23 Jan 2026 11:25
Taken from Trinity Delta 25:11:2025 -
“Based on the now clearly defined target patient population in advanced
melanoma, management estimates that the addressable population is 38,000, with
an addressable market size for iSCIB1+ in this indication of c $3bn. In the earlier-
stage neoadjuvant/adjuvant setting the opportunity is larger, with a patient
population of 129,000 and market potential of around $6-9bn. Other
opportunities for iSCIB1+ could be as a preventative therapy in certain high-risk
groups. However, at present, our peak sales assumption for iSCIB1+ focuses only
on the advanced melanoma indication. There remains an unmet need in this group
of patients; despite CPIs improving patient outcomes, only around 50% of
patients maintain a long-term benefit, with the remainder either relapsing or
becoming refractory to CPI treatment”.
Those figures suggest that the price per patient will be £58,500. Our current MCap is £137m.
137m divided by 58,500 = 2,340 treatments or 195 treatments per month to generate a turnover equal to today’s MCap.
The treatable market is 3,200 per month or 16 times our current worth in one year.
I just wanted to point out how insignificant today’s share price is compared to just one years potential for iSCIB1+ and if we go after the neoadjuvant market that’s a further 129,000 treatments per year.
Scancell is a potential unicorn biotech, just saying in case it’s not occurred to anyone !!