Why I’m ok with Landstead deal last week.23 Mar 2026 13:51
As my post earlier today causing all the controversy has been removed, let me post it again.
The figures stand after responses from this chat. This time, we have imminent deal for P140, so the Lanstead deal has a good chance of earning significant cash and so timing last week is less of a problem for me.
All,
I’ve been overly pessimistic on the Landstead agreement, blinded by previous agreement and P140 lack of traction before patent application.
Let me explain….
I looked at last weeks Landstead agreement as the company diluting shareholders by ~20% for £6m. On thinking about this, I’m totally wrong to say that. The outlook is much better than this.
I’m going to explain by one scenario. Let’s say that we close the P140 deal this year and get upfront payment of £300m. It might be much more, it might be much less, but I’m just trying to explain the reason why I’m wrong.
1. Starting point and dilution
Assume:
• Pre‑Lanstead total shares: 500m
• Lanstead subscription: 100m new shares at 6p
• Post‑Lanstead total: 600m shares
1. Structure we’re using
• IMM pledges £6m to Lanstead.
• Baseline: 20 equal “installments” of £300k each, if Measured Price = 8p.
• Actual cash to IMM per month ≈ £300k × (Measured Price ÷ 8p).
Assume the share price is constant at 50p over the 20 months due to P140 licensing deal coming with £300m cash and share price stays at cash value.
For IMM and its existing shareholders, a sustained 50p share price under this structure is extraordinarily positive.
Using the simplified 2026 setup we’ve been working with:
• 100m new shares issued to Lanstead at 6p, taking the total from 500m to 600m.
• £6m is pledged into a 20‑month sharing agreement with an 8p benchmark and £300k “baseline” per month if the price is 8p.
Equity value at 50p
• Total market cap at 50p = 600m × 50p = £300m.
• “Old” shareholders’ 500m shares = 500m × 50p = £250m.
So even after the Lanstead dilution, existing holders collectively own around £250m of equity at 50p.
Sharing‑agreement cash at 50p
With the share price at 50p throughout the 20‑month term:
• Price ratio vs benchmark = 50p ÷ 8p = 6.25.
• Monthly cash to IMM = £300k × 6.25 = £1.875m.
• Over 20 months, IMM receives ≈ 20 × £1.875m = £37.5m from the Landstead sharing agreement.
Against the £6m originally pledged, IMM is effectively up about £31.5m on that contract alone.
What this means for IMM
Under my “P140 £300m upfront, 50p share price” scenario:
• Existing shareholders see their stake in IMM worth about £250m at 50p, versus a much smaller value pre‑deal.
• IMM’s treasury is boosted by around £37.5m of cash from the sharing agreement instead of just getting its £6m back.
• The combination of large upfront licensing cash, re‑rated equity, and levered sharing‑agreement inflows means IMM is more than fully funded and can pursue further R&D or deals without needing additional equity raises at low prices.