RE: Excellent Podcast from Hanno5 Jul 2018 14:50
Let's make a comparison.
GCM have a coal2Power project in Bangladesh. Current market cap varies but in the order of £25million (98million shares in issue and 24.25p SP). They are working with Chinese, But the project has been beset with problems. While the company continues work on its partnerships, the coal mine, the key element, does not have go ahead from the Government of Bangladesh. So the project seemingly hangs in the balance (though my own belief is that the project will eventually get go ahead). However, there is belief amongst the LTHs that once the 'Green Light' is given to their Scheme of Development, that the SP rise to between £3 to £4 per share. At £3 per share, we're looking at a market cap of £300million. This is the expectation they - LTHs - have on news, this is before anything exchanged or built.
As it is, for a project whose coal mine (GCM that is) doesn't have go official ahead, leaving it precariously balanced, they still for some reason have a market cap greater than NCCL's, where our market cap still remains below £20million.
Where NCCL have nearly everything in place, permits etc. just awaiting tariff. And a binding JDA about to happen end of July, a time line repeated by the company on many occasions. Remembering that our project has expected annual revenues of upwards of $300million, tax and royalties that will amount to between £1.1billion to $1.4billion over the life time of the mine, where our coal supply will come to us secure and at the lowest possible cost (coal we will sell on to like of KIBO), where debt will be used by GE and CMEC to largely buy own equipment and services etc. All pointing to great economics and monster NPV.
And yet we have folks thinking an SP of 15p on JDA, equating to market cap of just £40million??? £40million market cap on JDA???
I could be wrong, as I've said before, but it's my view strong view we will be well above 20p following binding JDA.