RE: Elephants in the Room4 Aug 2021 17:27
Ghengis, I totally disagree - but then I would, I work in the industry, West if Shetlands (WoS), also possibly biased because I recently invested a few quid after a couple of years putting my hard earned elsewhere.
Your first point - will the reservoir continue to flow - you could say that about any producer WoS - and before anyone says its different to the rest - BP are producing from Fractured Basement Reservoirs WoS.
PS - the Mark 1 eyeball says it is currently doing just fine
Ref' having cash to pay off the bonds - this was debated in court last month and the conclusion was that there is a decent chance they will have, with multiple options to make up any shortfall if required.
Regarding Spirit and BW, I do not see Spirit sale as a concern, even if they walk away from the GWA licence, it has minimum impact - and if Spirit eventually sell out it could be positive - who knows. Bluewater -It would cost BW or their new client Hundreds of Millions of $ to redeploy the AM. The deal for the charter extention will happen soon, the terms may be interesting but I am confident it will happen soon - I may be wrong but watch this space.
The OGA/BEIS pulling the plug because of flaring consent is extremely unlikely. I suspect they may want a commitment to Flare Gas Recovery, but certainly not a show stopping elephant by any stretch of the imagination.
Squarial - They already have 2 esp's, both back operational now I believe, although natural flow at the minute will still produce 10k barrels a day - potentially more if pushed.
Still a risky share and always has been, and certainly not one that I would throw my life savings at, but maybe worth a punt ;-), maybe not.
All in my opinion.