Zinc supply analysis20 May 2020 13:13
Zinc supply has been impacted by shutdowns, this may very well work out in GLR’s and JLP’s favour as their planned zinc operation is on the lower cost quartile and they will be producing zinc concentrate:
Citi commodities strategist
Speaking about how zinc mine supply has been affected by COVID-19 prevention measures, Nugent said it completely changed his outlook for the year.
“Before (the outbreak) we were seeing a very big concentrate surplus and a smaller refined surplus, but the surplus has now shifted from concentrate to refined,” he said. “In the past two months, we’ve been running at over 20 percent of zinc units lost on a daily basis.”
Furthermore, Nugent believes 4 percent of the total market was lost during the first half of the year.
“The challenge now (that lockdowns are eased) is getting back up to utilization and that ramp up process, and how quickly they can do it,” he explained. “One big concern for zinc is the amount of mining that takes place underground.”
Nugent expects a lot of mines not to come back as a result of lower prices. That’s why he expects the concentrate market to be balanced at best, but probably in deficit.