Share price/Newsflow26 Mar 2022 08:16
It has been nearly 7 months since the ML was granted and we have had no real operational update since then.What we have had is:
1)The appointment of an apparently very experienced project director in December to get the mine built.
2)The appointment of a Blackrock proven consultant in February to agree/negotiate the Government free carry.
3)The conversion in March of 7.8m warrants into 2.2p shares by our CEO at a cost to him of £172k and a resulting enlarged shareholding for him of 9.74% of the total capital outstanding.
This all tells us the following:
1)The mine is going to get built by us.
2)The Government carry should be forthcoming in a decent timeframe and as AIM says below should come in at the standard 16%.I completely agree with JSD71 below that this carry is good news as it is in a way an insurance policy against further Government meddling, and against the backdrop of some African mining mishaps, is in fact a very reasonable price to pay for insurance.Anyone who remembers the Acacia Mining scandal in Tanzania in 2017 will get my drift here-fortunately that was in the Magafuli era, Samia Hassan and her team have taken a genuinely much more enlightened approach to foreign mining companies and it is only fair that Tanzania benefits from the success of these companies.
3)Matt Bull is very confidant of the future-why else commit £172k further to the project if it is not going to suceed.
I have been as frustrated as all of us by the lack of operational news, but I feel it has to be very close now and when it comes it will be very good.I also think the 7 months wait for operational news has been too much for many weak holders and they have exited with Kabunga leaving quite a few LTHs the opportunity to pick up more shares and a few new guys like Strummer (a known LTH) to build positions.My hope therefore is that when news does land the shares will move pretty sharply as LTHs hold tight.There will of course be some derisking,but hopefully the quality of news will offset this with new money arriving.Hopefully MB will assist this process with plenty of comms, interviews etc.Pointless him doing those now as he cannot tell us anything as he will be in a very rigid "quiet period" as he negotiates offtakes,finance etc.
GLA this will fly at some point and that point is edging closer-we know that and the market makers do too apparently.