Results10 Dec 2024 09:27
Where to start with that pile of merde?
An absolute train crash of a balance sheet, as bad as you will ever see on public markets. Current ratio 0.29!!! That alone should ensure this never trades again until assurances can be given that the financial position is stabilised. By the company’s own admission, the FRC are all over their accounting policies and we know the FCA did not approve the RTO prospectus. The actions of the directors are rightly being very closely watched.
There is little (some would say zero) chance of Recyclus raising fresh equity to pay TM PLC the £7M+ it owes. No funder, except a very stupid one, is going to put in new money for old to that level. The directors judge Recyclus able to repay the loan, hence no write-down at the TM PLC level. I hope they have been well advised as that decision may come back to haunt them personally if this does unravel in the next year.
Recyclus revenue £547K for the full year! That’s less that PLC director fees! What have they been doing?!? Those assets look prime for prepack to a clean entity and trading under new management. I doubt still that they can ever be got to commercial volumes given that Recyclus lost £2.8M on revenue of £0.5M. At least six times current revenue to cover the current costs? No chance.
Note 24 tells you solvency of TM PLC hangs by a thread, and only at the forbearance of Atlas. The company is in breach of the death spiral covenants, but Atlas have waived “for a year and a day” to help with going concern assessment.
Operationally, the company’s share of Idaho is down to 20% and South Dakota has been allowed to lapse. Cameroon is very early stage. The Spain licence expires next year, will the company have resources to renew it?
28 February becomes the crucial day. If the stampede for the exit at CRML leads to the company realising less than its £3.1M estimate for its holding, it's game over. Even if it does manage to limp on, it will still be very much on borrowed time.
There has to be some question as to whether the debt will need to take a haircut. That being the case, the equity is totally worthless.
If this ever does come out of suspension it is for financial masochists only.