RE: 146 Million Shares in treasury…..10 Nov 2025 15:56
Kepler’s flash note says the sell-off in Greencoat UK Wind is extreme and not justified by fundamentals. The government announcement is only a consultation, and the last time they ran the same consultation in 2023 they made no changes at all. Even if changes happen, UKW’s exposure to ROC indexation is small, the remaining contract life is short, and the dividend is strongly covered. UKW has multiple safety levers, continues to buy back shares, and has a resilient portfolio with diversified revenue streams. Kepler’s view is that the worst outcomes are already more than priced into the current discount, meaning the long-term investment case remains intact and the current price weakness is driven by sentiment, not by any real deterioration in cashflows or dividend strength.