RE: Day after day red28 Apr 2026 14:06
Surrey: “It goes without saying - I would hope that anyone invested was so under the unwavering assumption that La India would *absolutely* be going into production - if it doesn't, there's no company!”
True enough, and yet at the same time, the market is primarily interested in earnings, and that is what it is constantly pricing-in. MTL in this current moment of its evolution is:
a) earnings-uncertain from Runruno, as it stutters its way home to end-of-life, with an escalating AISC per oz of material won.
b) earnings-uncertain from La India, as it moves beyond 40% complete, albeit reported to still be on-time and to-budget at this point, but with construction risk and commissioning risk up to nameplate capacity still yet an uncertain from a cost and timescale perspective.
Then there are the macro events that will affect the value of the US$ to factor in on top of that.
This moment now, through to production, as Lee says, is a moment for holding our nerve, and hoping… having faith that everything is going the right way in the remaining development of La India on time and on budget, for Runruno to keep on run running profitably to end of life, and for the price of gold to hold steady.
Sat on a yoga mat in India some years ago, I heard this: “the suffering is in the expectation.”
I’d say MTL holders have got much suffering to do between now and La India production. Question for each and every one of us every day is: “does the expected pay-off compensate for the suffering?”
GLA