RE: Bought out?4 Feb 2026 15:23
Ear…
“Zero chance of ARA bidding for AEX. Zero chance of anyone else bidding for AEX prior to the results of CH-1 because nobody will take the risk of it turning out as a white elephant.”
You’ve hit the nail on the head. That’s precisely the reason why Zubair/ARA hasn’t taken the whole lot out yet.
Meanwhile, your contrary statement that the reason that Zubair/ARA hasn’t purchased the remainder of the shares in AEX is “because they want AEX to continue as a PARTNER in Tanzania”… partly true… AEX brings nothing to the table for ARA in Tanzania, other than (a) the convenience of AEX shareholders continuing to get diluted and diluted as time goes on, and all the while the asset remains in the ground, ready for exploitation as/when Zubair/ARA is ready, and (b) a relevant enough insurance policy for roughly a quarter of the value of the enterprise, on what is likely to be a long list of performance guarantees based on the data/optics that AEX disclosed (sold) Zubair/ARA on the project.
“ARA are… respectable businessmen that respect others ownership of assets and, partnerships to share risk, costs and knowledge.”
I don’t doubt that Zubairs/ARA are ‘respectable’ businessmen, but like Trump, they are businessmen. Personally, I really don’t consider Zubairs/ARA’s acquisition of the remainder of the AEX shares further down the line, on its own terms and in its own time, to change my opinion of whether they are “respectable” or not. I’d call it ‘good business’ on their part.
Nothing baseless or conspiracy theorist about any of what I am saying, but I always find it interesting how those emotionally aswell as financially overbought in a position don’t half get uptight when someone challenges their illusion of things.