Steve lSE post9 Nov 2019 07:39
If there have been oil shows at surface during the horizontal drilling it will have confirmed there are HC's present, and if this is backed up with high drilling fluid losses then this is suggestive of an extensive fracture network. It doesn't take an expert to make some "read-across" assumptions to the previous "successful" wells.
So these rumours could easily be true, although obviously the actual/potential production rate can only be confirmed with testing(/production).
The RNS indicates that the testing is weather dependent. Does anyone know if it's the actual testing that's weather dependent, or the movement offshore of the equipment required for testing? If the latter, then we could still be a few (calm) days away for commencement of testing....
Certainly, confirmation of oil in the Warwick "reservoir" would convert some/much of the 935 MM bbl of P50 resources into 2C, although this will have little real impact on the in-ground valuation. More importantly (IMO), it should provide sufficient potential to progress with the GWA FFD.... and that will allow much of GWA's P50/2C to be reclassified as P2 Reserves...
Could be a sleepless weekend for any shorters out there..