RE: Allkem23 Oct 2022 17:31
9billion
No, I don't believe that's the case. When share prices come off management are usually first in line for criticism and that isn't fair IMO.
I've been investing in resource companies for a good 10yrs now. I'd like to think I've picked a thing or two up along the way and I really would be keen to not lay much criticism at the door of management, particularly not ALLs.
We've got to 30.1mt resource and an 18.9mt reserve on the PFS for Ewoyaa. We're cashed up for the next 6-12 months and we have the joys of Ricca to come. Superb. This was after a few years where the late Vincent and Co worked feverishly across all the projects concurrently.
A better platform for long term investors could not have been laid.
Where we are right now, I think pretty much all lithium companies have come off from highs as investors have taken profits off the table. Our political struggles in the UK has unfortunately exacerbated that and the momentum of March and April has been lost for now.
We know roughly what we have coming news wise over the next 3-6 months ago but IMO, strong promotion now is going to be akin to flogging ice creams in mid winter. There's a clear divergence between lithium spot pricing which remains strong and markets which are weak.
So the outcome now, and this is what I think we'll see, is pockets of liquidity floating around the lithium players coinciding with the bigger news events. Piedmont the last couple of weeks are a good example of that.
I really do think for us it's a case of sitting it out, waiting for further assays and ultimately an idea of where the resource is up to. DFS won't be far away by that point and neither will an update on the mining licence. Focus will then turn to funding the Capex shortfall (inflation fears on this shouldn't be discounted for recent performance) and then I'm sure your valuation thesis will start to take prominence.