RE: Metal Prices fact check18 Aug 2024 23:00
Fort - when you start benchmarking against previous narratives you're just assessing against your own view of what happened in the past, so forgive me for asking but what is the difference?
The fact is that the Covid lows saw a lot of cash move to the sidelines over a couple of short weeks until the markets bottomed out, at which point the cash returned and we saw the B-shaped recovery pretty much across the board.
Yes, my view is that the market was happier with the story in DC PFS days than it is right now. We weren't far off the back of the Porvenir sub-plot and market was clearly happier to buy the shares up. History tells us that.
Of course I think the market is wrong now. We only have to look at the Cascabel economics at these spot prices, but as you alluded to yesterday, a lot of cash is still happy to sit on the sidelines taking the interest on offer.
That's why I agree with your view of where price will end up going once rates have peeled further.