RE: Whale Buying?4 Feb 2022 10:50
The truth is the Fed is trapped, and they obviously know / knew there was an inflation problem a long way out (they have access to the best data there is) but what can they really do?
Inflation raging on one side and an economy that can only live on 0% interest rates on the other.
They have a decision to make on what is worse, let inflation rip or jack up interest rates, either could cause a recession / depression if they get it wrong, the temptation (temporary easier thing to do) is to let inflation go as it’s the lesser of two evils, but if they get that wrong and the dollar tanks, well, they will have a much bigger problem on their hands further down the line, it’s as big stakes as you’ll ever get.
Putting interest rates (in dollar denomination) will effect some 75% of all international debt in some way or another, that’s the kind of stakes we are taking, you could floor the developing world overnight.
Through years of living way beyond our means and on debt which costs nothing, we have created a situation where the fire has been lit and all the fire exists have been sealed (central banks know this and are collecting gold at decades highs) the plebs like us aren't supposed to realise the size of the problem until it's too late.