upside/downside21 Feb 2013 07:26
We also have a very compelling upside/downside situation with a worked valuation for the 23p target already provided so no point denouncing the potential for a multiple move, whether that transpires to be around that level, less or even more - even a fraction of that could see the SP ona multiple of the current level.
Also, as was pointed out the SP was around 3p prior to Iris successfully bidding for the turbines. Since then we've had the non refundable $3.1M paid which when directly correlated to the shares in issue would add circa 2p to the SP, hence way undervalued even now.
Theres a very high likelihood imho for the Iris sale to be successfully concluded for the reasons already extensively discused ($3.1M deposit paid, continued spend on transporation etc etc).
An alternative scenario would see the turbines sold anyway to another party whilst IPSA keep the $3.1M.
The low number of shares in issue would in all likelihood relate to a major premium (at current levels) to secure stock on the successful sale coompletion whilst a less likely alternative scenario would see any drop limited due to reasons already given & a higher fair value & interest associated with IPSA & the investment case.
Lets keep the discission stock specific as we look towards increased activity as we go into next week
dtor & gla