IPSA 23p valuation20 Apr 2013 16:46
The reason many of us are invested & prepared to wait the turbine sale is the massive upside potential from current price levels. Those turbines WILL be sold & we currently have multiple parties at the negotiating table as well as the short term funding situ resolved.
The worked calculations aren't mine & are based on the Results sep 2012 - They do give a indication of where the SP could go, especially with significant increase in capacity & demand expected over the short, mid & long term timeframes.
"Once the sale of the remaining turbines is (inevitably) finalised, it will be the trigger for a major rerating, which will make it debt free company, and will have surplus of cash after the working capital requirement.
Also, since the plant in south africa is already generating revenue, it is expected that it will be in profit/cash positive later in the year (ie no more fundraising/placing)
calculation:
the remaining turbine sale total proceeds = GBP 19.4m
proceeds Will be used to pay off all debts totalling = GBP 15.8
(page 4 of the report)
so, the company will have assets (and debt free) worth
= net cash after sale of turbine = 19.4-15.8 = GBP 3.6m
= other assets (property/plants) FMV worth = GBP 9.7m
so, total assets 3.6+9.7 = GBP 13.3m
and this excludes any attributable valuation to its revenue being generated by its operation in South africa, which in itself could be worth 10p more (i havent done any proper calculation on revenue in south africa).
so, total value of IPSA would be 13.3m+10m = GBP 23.3m (will be higher should they ramp up revenue in the plant)
while current market cap only around GBP 3M (at 3p sp)
This will rerate majorly once the sale of turbine is finalised and the company is debt free.
based on Interim result sep 2012
http://www.ipsagroup.co.uk/images/Interim_Results_2012.pdf