RE: 6 weeks?14 Sep 2018 13:57
Feedback from previous AGMs has always had the Directors communicating a very 'upbeat' vibe.....and the consistent reference to 'in current discussions with a number of parties'
Anyone who has followed this stock over the years, can verify that.
Potter's assertion that he doesn't know the reason for the major walking away sounds ludicrous - with communication that no doubt has been taking place over the last few months, it sounds absurd that the major would just say "no thank you" and disappear, without any other feedback communicated whatsoever - Portter's being accomodating with the truth on that one, imho.
I don't believe the Major is still on the scene, waiting for another party to further share risk, as nothing in the RNS suggested that to be the case. We can disect the intricacies of language used but in this specific case, it sounded more unequivical than not, that the Major was out which therefore leave BPC to pursue any other interested parties / financing options.
On the flipside to the above, accepting the 'exclusive' nature of the previous agreement, I would think it unlikely that 'unofficial' communication on a certain level with other potential suitors, has not occured - hence perhaps BPC would not need to start from scratch as it were.
Alternative financing options with the help of Mcquarie have no doubt also been explored and / or advanced.
Add to the mix, the singular large & significant trades that have shown themselves and reported just before or after market close. Such trades are not always easy to discern with absolute certainty as Buys or Sells - however, when viewed in the context of a marked intraday price correction upwards and the pruce of the trade, along with intraday spread, the first very large one I noted seemed very much like a Buy (refer to previous caveat on no absolute certainty of such).
As I posted previously, I would have though the price would drift down to the pre catalyst (exclusivity RNS) level but not so sure of that now - it may still do of course.
I wouldn't however be surprised at some sort of development either, even if it involves a prohibitive finance agreement to push forward drilling - certainly better than nothing at this stage.
As such, I retain a holding level here, albeit not anywhere close to my previous holding. Still looking to MATD with its 6 fully funded drills but will keep a stake here as certainly not so clear cut to be unequivocally Positive or Negative on near term developments / price direction.
Dyor & atb all