RE: RNS10 Jul 2025 13:02
Agree that Cascabel has many aspects to suggest a stronger percentage of the PFS NPV (not least the comedy low prices used for Copper/Gold etc compared to today's prices) but with respect, you have zero chance of yielding 40%+ without a DFS and that typically yields 30%. The sensitivity analysis in the PFS should inform you of what the likely NPV is on today's numbers which is obviously far higher than when published - if you mean you can get 50%+ of the original NPV based on the numbers used back then then, yes, you're probably right.
There's little point pointing to extra resource in the ground - if it hasn't been costed in at least a PFS then nobody has any idea at all whether it can be retrieved or for how much money and it would only receive very lowball numbers in a "finger in the air" guesstimate.
Come up with something like an accurate NPV based on today's commods prices and as sure as eggs is eggs, it'll go for 15-20% of that number.
Unless they do a DFS and/or the buyer is willing to stump up serious cash for the other 80% of alleged uncosted resource.