RE: I wonder20 May 2022 13:30
Cheekyboy - I don't think any negative points made on this board have had much to do with the share price dropping.
My view is that the extreme - yes, 'extreme', external factors have done 90% of the damage. The war and it's impact on the rising cost of living, as well as inflation and general macro-economics have caused the investment community to move £ to safer havens. Most stocks, bitcoin etc have suffered considerably. Look at some of the tech stocks, and established companies, losing 2/3rd's of their value despite £bns in revenue.
Companies that have consistent revenues and pipelines will fair better than those with inconsistent revenues and speculative pipelines. In the current climate AFC still has a Market cap of £191m. ITM and Ceres can only be cited as peers to the extent that they operate in the Hydrogen field, but as businesses they are much more advanced than where AFC are, and AFC is much more risky than those two (due to lack of proven pipeline and production line), and, therefore, is likely to be even more volatile (up and down) than they are (hence sometimes drop further than those two and struggle to make the gains back up). One may argue that AFC should be in a better position by now, market ready products etc, but I'm not trying to open that can of worms - I'm still hopeful about the power tower finally being 'that' product.
In the short term however, it is not the 'bashing' or expression of upset about how the company is being run that is affecting the share price. It is the market looking at companies like AFC and noticing that a) there's not a complete product (yet), and b) there's not a consistent, measurable pipeline that helps determine with some degree of certainty where this company might up in the next 2, 3 or 5 years. c) It's already worth £191m which is 38X it's projected revenue of c.£.5m. I think that we will struggle to see these speculative tech stocks hit 50X - 100X revenue multiples until there is a point where the average retail investor has incentive to starts piling back in (rather than piling out) of the stock market - this is not unique to AFC, but to all stocks, especially AIM. Therefore, the only way to meaningfully increase the share price, is to increase the expectation of revenue = revenue generating contracts.
I hope you don't read the above as 'bashing'. If you want some balance, then I'll tell you why I'm invested in AFC.
1. They have a Alkaline chemistry fuel cell
2. It promises to be the lowest cost and highest efficiency fuel cell in its field
3. It is finally in a configuration that looks like it makes sense from a practicality perspective.
4. Flexible fuelling options.
5. Global Partnerships - especially with VARD and ABB - markets - EV charging, Data Centres, Construction etc
6. Some great expertise on the payroll - especially in product.
7. Great opportunities for publicity through exe and UAP and through UKTI
8. Somewhat of a manufacturing facility
All IM