RE: Disaster25 Nov 2025 10:49
Perversely, I think LIO would do relatively well under the current circs.
- There is a need for the US Mag7 bubble to deflate (if it doesn't burst, at least), leading to rotation of money into other assets.
- A cut in interest rates would benefit the "dividend shares" with higher yields.
- Share buybacks will push up EPS, and if the sp drops the company buys back even more shares, improving cost effectiveness.
Once the initial marketwide drop occurs, shares like LIO have a chance to outperform in the medium term. I bought big into shares like MNG, PHNX and LGEN when they all dipped sharply over the past 3-4 years. Not only do I get a high yield in return, I also get c.30% capital appreciation.
Certainly struggling at the moment, but it's times like these that represent good risk/reward opportunities. Might not work out that way, of course, but when there's blood in the streets and all that jazz....