RE: Meltdown Wednesday27 May 2026 12:14
I'm in SVML too.
Rio's recent corporate re-organisation has probably diminished the likelihood they will buy out SVML. It doesn't fit with their Org chart. They do have a rump of "miscellaneous" operations, though SVML represents such a large opportunity, it wouldn't fit comfortable there.
There's always the possibility Rio will see (and better than anyone else, given their insider intel) what SVML represents, and re-org their org chart. Presenting it to shareholders like, "I know we just said in a big RNS that we're not doing that any more, but lol we had our fingers crossed behind our backs"
However, given Rio's prominent inside place, there's no reason why they wouldn't just extend their option anyway, even if they have very little intention of buying out SVML, just to keep their options open.
Imo, I fully expect Rio to extend their option on SVML, leading to a flurry of excited PIs anticipating a buyout from them, though, again imo, the prospect of that is low.
Anyway, regardless of what eventually happens, the current sp is a ridiculously good risk/reward play. Not much downside, and potentially at least 1 bag.