RE: Back on Planet Earth1 Jul 2020 21:05
See now Luap, that's nonsense comment really hurt, but here's the thing: My 'posting history' is meaningless; whether I'm a nice guy or not is likewise, and most of all, your (completely mistaken fwiw) 'opinion' of me is the most inconsequential thing of all. This is not a therapy board where priority should be seeking or giving friendly pats on the bum, nor should it matter if someone's preference happens to be the opposite. What matters is only if you know what you're talking about and on this, and many of finance/market related subjects, i do and others here most assuredly do not. You want 'common sense', read my posts. My primary message is based on a simple, common sense reality: this whole situation is just not that unusual, yet many here seem to want to treat it like Spurs winning the FA cup or something. The company mines a relatively scarce commodity, it opened a strategic review late last year, which has seen multiple parties emerge who are interested either in some or all of their main assets or the entire company, and this has resulted in a formal sale process overseen by the Takeover Panel. This is great news and could well end in a takeout of the equity at a substantial premium to the suspension price. But I hate to break it to you all, for reasons good and ill, it also may not (though I concede that the former is more likely as there is clearly multiple party interest and an underlying product with a solid supply-demand outlook). Meanwhile, anyone who thinks that the shares will stay suspended one second longer than is allowed after the citic RNS is issued, is high. The parties that matter in this thing all need and want the shares to start trading as soon as possible, period, bc as I have tried several times to explain, a clearing price established over a reasonable time frame, in the public market, is the THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT VARIABLE IN THIS ENTIRE PROCESS GOING FORWARD FOR PARTIES ON BOTH SIDES OF ANY DEAL. Every other bit of idle speculation about the board of directors, the price of palladium, who might be in the data room, the phase of the moon and any and all other stuff and nonsense, pales into insignificance relative to establishing a market price. And finally - again: sorry - the idea that the suspension price is somehow unimportant in all this and that the share price is simply going to immediately rocket to some kind of magical NPV of assets in the ground or some such upon re-opening, is also a drug-addled notion. Is that common enough for you?