RE: This morning...17 Feb 2026 12:14
Sure, the RNS wording is admirably crafted. The pump worked operationally and did indeed increase the fluid flow by a good amount and that’s a nice headline. But cross reference the model they set out to test and the conclusion they draw. They set out to test the capacity of the 20,000 bbl/d pump on which the feasibility study models a ‘typical’ development well. They got it up above 16,000 and stabilised at 15,000. That’s good news, it exceeds the low case of 12,300 modelled in the CPR but it’s short of the best case. There could be many reasons for that, to with the pump, the well conditions, the reservoir, or the water disposal. The helium concentration was good, on target for the model. The gas water ratio was really disappointing for the model, possibly because of dilution from the intermediary aquifer. They need to improve on 0.25 from the EWT not drop to one fifth of that. The conclusion says that they need to look elsewhere in licence area and drill new appraisal wells, which I take to mean instead of progressing with the plan for five EPS wells at Itumbula