RE: BMN Still Very Undervalued17 Oct 2018 21:44
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I repeat again, brownfield is a done deal, why, because FM clearly states that the BE arm needs substantial mining to support it. You don't reveal your BE business model if the road to 10,000 mtv isn't already paved, particularly when you state things like ;
"with scaled up production capacity, particularly, again when you do this on a brownfield basis, you can do it fairly quickly, you can solve for the availability of vanadium for VRFBs"
I repeat again, VRFB electrolyte and assembly is a done deal, why, because FM clearly states that when BMN SA assembled batteries come to the market they will have "over 70% local content."
You don't say that if you do not have a clear plan of how you are going to achieve that 70% content. That means you already know exactly what your battery technology partner (UET) will be supplying, who will be building it locally, how they will be building it locally, what will be shipped in etc etc.
70% local content gives BMN SA built VRFBs free access to the SADC free trade agreement, which means 13 energy hungry but grid straved countries in Southern Africa.
Finally, the dividend policy. The words used are a sustainable distribution policy. Those words say very loid and clear to me that it will be set percentage of profits, be it from a minimum point or from the toal made each year.
Again, if it is coming this year, then the company knows exactly how it is going to achieve the plans it has already set out.
Therefore, this company is clearly heading towards being a 10,000 mtv brownfield led vanadium miner, with an electrolyte plant and VRFB assembly line, with large scale mandates led by electrolyte leasing, and it knows that it can pay for it all and still pay out a sustainable dividend and highly likely remain debt free.
No wonder FM finishies by saying the SP should be "significantly north of where we are today".
DYOR as usual.