RE: Price17 Feb 2023 08:57
To pass the vote for the split requires 75%. ICT has 23.9% ICT will cast one way or another depending on how ICT chooses to cast the vote. So, if ICT votes against and only 1.2% others vote against the split, the motion to split is defeated. So how is ICT expected to vote?
In my view there has been a policy of stringing the market along saying there would be a split but never intending to go through with it. Initially this may have been out of misguided patriotism believing Russia would wrap up the war quickly, and the west would swiftly return to business as usual basically along Russia's point of view.
Now we don't hear any propaganda voices trying to sell that line. Instead it talk of a split has been pushed further and further down the road as the reality of Russia's position as toxic into the future is realised. Now, instead of a split, the manoeuvring indicates more of an organised withdrawal from western stock markets to 'the east'. Share swaps, 75% thresholds, unobtainable GDR talk (you need a bank to support it) and culminating in plain speak at the January presentation. And I suspect even if a GDR was set up, I think it would only be a temporary arrangement designed to allow loyal Russians and sympathiser holders in the west to make arrangements to move their stock to the new exchange in KZ.
I think it would be better for all if the board came clean and simply declared the intention is now to move off western listings altogether in order to avoid splitting the company up. It can be correctly described as a developed policy based on extending circumstances rather than originally misleading the market and I think many would accept that. This would allow people to make a clean beak easier or develop a long term investment strategy knowing what the ultimate policy is with their broker and/or independent financial advisor.
Right now the best policy from the board will be open honest declarations of intent. If they do not want or intend to split the company, say so. If they [now] only see long term market stability attainable by withdrawing from western stock markets entirely, say so.