Hypothetical situation14 Aug 2023 12:11
Morning everyone. I've been thinking long and hard about why progress has seemingly stalled with 737 and we've had no on licence in the last couple months. Admittedly, this is all conjecture as no one really knows what's going on - maybe not even the BOD as it's not really theirs to negotiate.
I would like some thoughts on the following, please. Might pharma be reluctant to take on 737, simply because they are all looking at the bigger picture? I'll explain the situation that's been swirling around in mind head.
Pharma A really like 737 and would like to take it on. They have done their due diligence and know the minority partner has a credible pipeline that could materialise in the next 1-2 years.
Pharma B and C are waiting on phase 1a results before opening dialogue with SAR. They are interested in licensing 1801 if there are positive results.
Pharma D like the look of the SAR, but won't want to take them out lock, stock and barrel until some indication of results from phase 1b are positive. Unfortunately for them - and us - they won't want to take us out if 737 is in the hands of pharma A, and definitely won't get near SAR if 1801 has already been on-licenced (quite likely as that's the first option).
Going back to pharma A, which has done it's work on 737. It can see our pipeline. It can guess what may happen 1-2 years down the line. Pharma A ideally would have a therapeutic which it has complete control of, and which provides financial gain for them and them alone. A return for the CPF is acceptable. However, with the potential for a take out, taking on 737 and subsequently providing financial gain to pharma D is not acceptable.
So here's my worry. If we start to on-licence either 737 (not our decision) or 1801, would it cause a reluctance from other pharma to take us out as they will be working with other pharma, and vice versa. Are pharma reluctant to on-licence because they don't want to put the work in, then find competitors may benefit in the long run?
Thoughts welcome on this. Just some personal thoughts on the potential big picture. We are Al pretty confident the science works. The finance situation has been discussed to death recently. The big picture situation looks at overall progress and ultimately our end game. (As I've said before, I'd prefer a take out - cleaner and shorter time frame).