Nige11 Sep 2019 21:59
Hi, Just thought I would share the IC update on BDEV following their results to give a different view to yours.
Demand for Barratt’s homes was relatively stable, with the net private reservation rate of 0.7 per active outlet per week down only slightly from a multiple of 0.72 in the prior year. Forward sales were 2 per cent ahead, although unsurprisingly the total value of those was down slightly. The shares have outperformed peers over the past 12 months, buoyed by progress on margins. That has left them trading at 1.2 times consensus forecast NAV at the June 2020 year-end, a premium to a through-the-cycle average multiple of 0.9 and in line with the three-year average. Given the risk of a further downturn in sales prices, continued expansion of margins is by no means guaranteed. Hold for the dividend in the short-term.
Personally I'm not a fan of BDEV but am more confident that TW can continue their short term rise unless BREXIT with no deal happens on 31st October which I think is still 50/50.
Tom, hope you are well and your shares are doing well. BOL