I’m not concerned2 Nov 2025 08:28
Ggp had a free cash flow of A$286m last quarter, this was on an average price of A$5,277. The average price this quarter is around A$6,000 at the moment.
The forecasts are weighted towards this first half year so I would suggest another 80,000oz this quarter, reducing to between 50k and 75k to get to the full year guidance of 260-310k oz.
FY26 sees Stage 7 continue its’ waste stripping, this has been running at 7.2t of waste to 2t of ore. They are saying the ratio will average out to 1:1 and stage 7 will be the key driver of ore ounces FY27 on.
I see the dip in H2 ounces in relation to the ROM stockpiles depleting but being replenished in FY27 by high grade ore from underground.
The next 6 months is a fine line between keeping the production going and bringing new areas on line from June 26.
Stage 7 though will increase production as it shifts to a 2 excavator production plan, getting down through the waste to new ore resources is crucial for the next phased production.